NFL Week 4

Yes, I have a lot of blogging to catch up on! And Sunday I will plan to get a few articles on here that I have been contemplating.

In the meantime, here is my take on the NFL going into Week #4.

Week Four Predictions

Green Bay over Minnesota
Houston over Atlanta
New York Jets over Buffalo
Baltimore over Cleveland
Dallas over St. Louis
Detroit over Chicago
Miami over Oakland
Seattle over San Francisco
Tampa Bay over Carolina
Pittsburgh over Arizona
San Diego over Kansas City
Indianapolis over Denver
Philadelphia over New York Giants
New England over Cincinnati

Last Week: 9-7
Season: 31-17 (.646)

Rick’s Power Rankings

1. New England Patriots (3-0) - This could well be the best team that the Patriots have fielded in the past seven years. Scary.

2. Indianapolis Colts (3-0) - All the are doing is winning right now. I don’t believe the defense is as good as many believe, but until they lose a game that is hard to prove.

3. Pittsburgh Steelers (3-0) - Yes, they are beating the teams that they should, but they are also thrashing them.

4. Dallas Cowboys (3-0) - Surprise of the NFC so far. Romo is picking up where he left off last year.

5. Green Bay Packers (3-0) - The Packers? Yep. It may not last, but it’s fun to watch so far.

6. Houston Texans (2-1) - Gave a good fight against Indy. This team is off to a great start, but injuries are piling up.

7. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1) - Playing well on both sides of the ball so far. Carolina will be a tough test.

8. Tennessee Titans (2-1) - Two road wins have the Titans believing. Early bye week may not be a favor to this team.

9. Seattle Seahawks (2-1) - Will Alexander’s injury affect this offense? Hasselbeck will need his receivers to hold onto passes to stay in the top ten.

10. Baltimore Ravens (2-1) - The jury is still out on whether or not this team is for real this season.

11. Jacksonville Jaguars (2-1) - What does it say about the AFC South when the “worst” team in the division is ranked #11?

12. Carolina Panthers (2-1) - The short-term fate of the team is now turned over to David Carr. That doesn’t seem to be a good thing.

13. Denver Broncos (2-1) - They might be 2-1 and leading the division, but this is not an impressive squad at this point.

14. Washington Redskins (2-1) - See Denver.

15. San Francisco 49ers (2-1) - Needing another big performance from Frank Gore this week.

16. Philadelphia Eagles (1-2) - A solid performance against the Giants will help the Eagles forget all about that 0-2 start.

17. Detroit Lions (2-1) - A good start sent into remission by the Eagles.

18. Minnesota Vikings (1-2) - Rookie Adrian Peterson is carrying this team right now.

19. Arizona Cardinals (1-2) - Injuries are hurting a team that seems to have some potential.

20. Cincinnati Bengals (1-2) - it doesn’t matter how good their offense is when their defense sucks this bad.

21. Oakland Raiders (1-2) - This team is showing signs of life.

22. San Diego Chargers (1-2) - “If we play this team (New England Patriots) ten times, we beat them nine.” Really? Not only did they get their asses handed to them by New England, but then they lost to the Packers. Stay classy, San Diego.

23. New York Giants (1-2) - Tough start so far, but a tough schedule. This week’s game against the Eagles will tell us a lot about this team.

24. New York Jets (1-2) -It may be early, but this week’s game against the Bills may well influence whether or not the Jets have a chance at the post-season.

25. Chicago Bears (1-2) - They just don’t look good so far. Now the injuries are piling up and Brian Griese is in charge.

26. Cleveland Browns (1-2) - Romeo doesn’t seem to be finding his niche as a head coach so far.

27. Kansas City Chiefs (1-2) - The lack of productivity at quarterback is going to doom this team.

28. New Orleans Saints (0-3) - This team really isn’t as bad as it’s record, right? Right?

29. Miami Dolphins (0-3) - The defense is showing it’s age. That’s not good when the offense is as lethargic as it is.

30. St. Louis Rams (0-3) - Another example of injuries taking a mediocre team and making them downright bad.

31. Atlanta Falcons (0-3) - The Vick disaster gets worse. DeAngelo Hall acts like a punk, and Joey harrington has actually played decently. Talk about a recipe for disaster.

32. Buffalo Bills (0-3) - Bad offense. Bad defense. Just bad.

Week 3 Picks

Houston over Indianapolis
New England over Buffalo
New York Jets over Miami
Philadelphia over Detroit
Pittsburgh over San Francisco
Tampa Bay over St. Louis
San Diego over Green Bay
Baltimore over Arizona
Kansas City over Minnesota
Oakland over Cleveland
Seattle over Cincinnati
Denver over Jacksonville
Atlanta over Carolina
Washington over New York Giants
Chicago over Dallas
New Orleans over Tennessee

Last Week: 10-6
Season: 22-10 (.688)

A Betrayal of Trust

From MoveOn.org:

As always, class from Robert Kraft

Here is New England Patriots’ owner Robert Kraft’s statement on the taping incident.

“This has been an extremely difficult week for our organization. The most troubling part for me, personally, is the impact these actions have had on our fans. We have spent the last 14 years developing and building a franchise that people could embrace and support. The loyalty of our fans has been the most rewarding aspect of owning the team. I am deeply disappointed that the embarrassing events of this past week may cause some people to see our team in a different light.

“After reviewing the facts of the past weekend, the commissioner has made a determination that our franchise engaged in activities that violate the league’s rules. He has determined the punishment and I accept it.

“I believe that Coach Belichick always tries to do what is best for the team and he is always accountable for his decisions. He has been a very important part of what our organization has accomplished over the last seven years. In this case, one of his decisions has resulted in a severe penalty for our franchise. He has paid a heavy price and so has our organization. He has apologized for his actions. I accept his apology and look forward to working with him as we move forward.

“It has been a distinct privilege to be involved in the National Football League since 1994. I am passionate about the league because it represents the ultimate in competition. To this end, the integrity of the game and competition between the 32 teams is of paramount importance to me. Whenever the commissioner believes that the integrity of the league’s competition is compromised, he must act decisively to protect it.

“In addition to our fans, I also feel for our players. I know how hard our players work and prepare for every game and their accomplishments speak for themselves. I look forward to returning all of our focus and energy to the field.”

Belichick - Mangini Explained

Here is a great article that describes the ongoing feud between Bill Belichick and Eric Mangini.

The Gameface: Sandlot boys
By Michael Silver, Yahoo! Sports
September 14, 2007

Just before halftime of last Sunday’s game between the New York Jets and New England Patriots at Giants Stadium, a slight, unassuming man in a dark blue Pats polo shirt and khaki shorts was stopped by NFL security officials as he tried to enter the visitors’ locker room. Suddenly, a 26-year-old video assistant named Matt Estrella found himself in a scene that might have been lifted from “The Bourne Ultimatum.”

Suspected of having filmed hand signals from Jets’ coaches while standing on that team’s sideline, Estrella was interrogated in the bowels of the stadium by Jets and NFL security officials. New Jersey state troopers and FBI agents were also summoned. Mike Tannenbaum, the Jets’ general manager, left his seat during the second half and entered the fray, sternly lecturing Estrella about his apparent violation of NFL rules.

At one point, somebody brought Estrella a glass of water. He was shaking so hard that he spilled it all over himself. For all we know, that wasn’t the only liquid that ended up on Estrella’s person during the hour-long grilling.

Congratulations, Bill Belichick and Eric Mangini: your petty, childish little feud just made a member of the hired help wet his pants.

Now that NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell has come down hard on Belichick and the Patriots, fining the coach $500,000 and docking the organization $250,000 and a first-round NFL draft pick (if New England makes the playoffs) or second- and third-round choices in 2008, we can all sit back and condemn him for blatantly cheating in the pursuit of a competitive edge. Some people, including a few current members of the Philadelphia Eagles, are even questioning whether the Pats’ three Super Bowl victories in the previous six seasons are tainted by this behavior.

It’s a public relations nightmare for an organization that has been mostly classy and commendable in creating the 21st century’s first mini-dynasty, but focusing on the potential advantage New England gained from the stolen signals is missing the point.

The people who’ve truly been cheated are those in the Patriots’ organization – and their counterparts among the Mangini-coached Jets – who’ve been subjected to this consuming and unbecoming sandbox fight between two shrewd yet self-absorbed coaches.

If you don’t think Sunday’s bust was a setup (granted, a well-deserved one), you’re not looking closely enough. Belichick ordered an employee to engage in a practice that Mangini knew all about, as it had been commonplace during his time as Belichick’s defensive coordinator and defensive backs coach in New England. Anyone with a brain, let alone a brainiac like Belichick, would realize that videotaping an opponent’s coaches in that particular context was a disaster waiting to happen. Arrogantly and blatantly, Belichick did it anyway, operating under the Clintonesque rationale that because he wasn’t breaking down opposing coaches’ signals until after the completion of the game in question, he wasn’t violating any rules. I did not view tape from that camera (until later, when I used it for future signal-stealing reference.) So Slick Billy was there for the taking, and Mangini took down his former mentor, and hard, while watching his team suffer a 38-14 defeat.

Lest you think this was some random occurrence, consider the incestuous connections between the two organizations:

• The Jets’ video director, Steve Scarnecchia, formerly worked for the Patriots’ video department. Sources say he once had the same duties that landed Estrella in spilled water last Sunday and that Scarnecchia was the one who trained Estrella to clandestinely compile the verboten footage in the first place. Oh, and Scarnecchia’s father, Dante, is New England’s longtime offensive line coach and has been Belichick’s assistant head coach since 2000. Theirs should be a whale of a Thanksgiving dinner.

• Another Jets employee, coordinator of college scouting Jay Mandolesi, was an intern in the Patriots’ video department in 2002 and ‘03. Sources say he was fired after a dispute with then offensive coordinator Charlie Weis, possibly over similar video subterfuge.

• Tannenbaum and his Patriots counterpart, vice president of player personnel Scott Pioli, were once close friends, having previously worked together in Cleveland and with the Jets. Their relationship is now frayed.

How did all of this happen? How did Belichick, probably the greatest defensive strategist of his era and a future Hall of Fame coach, allow one of his prodigies to distract him from the task at hand and make him look like a fool?

It goes back to the end of the 2005 season, when the Jets were courting Mangini as a replacement for departed coach Herm Edwards. Belichick, who as the Browns’ head coach in ‘95 had given his fellow Wesleyan alum an assistant’s job after having noticed Mangini’s work as a public relations intern, had a deep-seated disdain for the Jets’ organization dating back to his infamous one-day stint as New York’s head coach following Bill Parcells’s resignation in January of 2000.

Go be a head coach anywhere but there, Belichick told his then-34-year-old defensive coordinator. There’ll be other opportunities, and I’ll help you get them, Belichick insisted. Just don’t take this one.

Mangini took the job anyway, and Belichick felt betrayed. When Belichick learned that Mangini, while still serving out his final days with the Patriots, was soliciting Pats coaches, support staff members and players to join him at his new gig, the war was on. Belichick had Mangini’s key card access revoked, but not before Mangini, a source says, took a laptop with confidential files stored in its hard drive out of the building. Mangini hired a Pats employee, Erin O’Brien, as his administrative assistant.

“He did exactly what Bill would do in the same situation,” says one high-ranking league source who knows both men. “Bill raised him too well.”

Whereas Belichick remained on good terms with ex-assistants Romeo Crennel, who took the Cleveland job, and Nick Saban, who went to the division rival Dolphins, Mangini was persona non grata the second he went to the dreaded Jets. Worse, the Patriots believed, star wideout Deion Branch felt empowered to hold out before the 2006 season because he’d been told by Mangini that the Jets sought his services at the price he desired.

Last August, when the Patriots gave Branch a week to negotiate with other teams in pursuit of a possible trade, the Jets were one of two franchises, along with the Seahawks, who made big-money offers. Branch was ultimately traded to Seattle, and the Patriots filed tampering charges against the Jets, who were later cleared by the league of wrongdoing.

The bad blood between Belichick and Mangini was evident after each of the two teams’ regular season meetings in ‘06. First, following a 24-17 Pats victory at Giants Stadium, Belichick refused to look at Mangini during their brief handshake at midfield. Two months later, after the Jets pulled off a 17-14 upset at Gillette Stadium, Belichick tried a similar tack before Mangini grabbed his arm and gloated, “Great job!”

In January, after the Pats eliminated the Jets from the playoffs by a 37-16 score, Belichick shoved a photographer out of the way to get to Mangini and gave his former assistant what appeared to be a showboating, insincere hug.

After the season Mangini hired Brian Daboll, the Pats’ wide receivers coach the previous five seasons, as his quarterbacks coach, compelling Belichick’s staff to change much of its terminology over the offseason.

The gamesmanship continued before the start of the ‘07 season when Mangini brought in two players, wideout Reche Caldwell and cornerback Artrell Hawkins, who’d just been released by New England, a move some believed was little more than a ploy to pick the players’ brains about the upcoming opponent’s plays and terminology. The Pats countered by bringing in wideout Tim Dwight, who’d just been released by the Jets.

What went down on Sunday, of course, escalated this hissing match to a much darker place. Now that Mangini has made him the object of national embarrassment – and taken a $500,000 chunk out of his bank account – how should Belichick retaliate?

Here’s how: Stop the madness. Take the high road. Start focusing on what he does best – coming up with brilliant game plans, picking the best players for his system and motivating them to perform at the highest level – and let go of a grudge that is totally beneath a coach of his stature.

When I hear about Mangini’s paranoia, the secrecy over injuries, the threats of fining players whom he suspects of having given anonymous quotes or whose agents comment publicly about their clients’ ailments, I think, “What a bunch of wasted energy.” But I also can somewhat forgive him: He’s young, and he thinks that by emulating Belichick in these ways he’ll be destined for the same kind of towering success. Or perhaps he just got caught up in his “Mangenius” nickname and the guest turn on The Sopranos. Whatever: He’s 36, and hopefully he’ll grow up in the years to come.

Belichick is 55, and even though he’s smarter than a fifth grader, he’s acting like one. I’ve been a fan of his work from way, way back, through the post-Browns days when he was considered a classic head coaching washout, and despite his media-repellent ways we’ve had a good relationship for a long time. I want to see him enjoy the fruits of his labor and the legacy he has earned through hard work and exceptional acumen; I don’t want to see him pushing photographers or revoking key cards or, worst of all, getting popped for cheating because he seemingly believed he could do whatever he wanted whenever he wanted, no matter who was watching.

Well, Little Brother was watching, and now he’s laughing at Belichick because he’s gotten so far under his skin.

Belichick may think it was the height of hypocrisy, not to mention an ungrateful maneuver by a guy who owes him a career, and he might be right. It doesn’t matter.

As a very smart coach has often said, it is what it is.

And now, gentlemen, it’s time to let it go.

RUSH… twice

So I had the opportunity to see Rush in Indianapolis on August 26 and in Chicago on September 8. Here are some clips from the tour posted on You Tube by people who saw them on others stops… hopefully they will be up for a while:

The famous South Park intro to Tom Sawyer

Part One of Neil’s drum solo

Part Two

Witch Hunt (at SPAC - back in Saratoga, NY)

Between the Wheels - one of my faves

Entre Nous - thrilled to finally hear this live

Now for a brief review:

Both shows were good, but the Chicago one was far better, and might be the best I have seen them. In Indy, the crowd was ok but didn’t seem to have a ton of energy. The sound was pretty muddy for the first half of the show, but got noticeably better after the break. Conversely, the sound in Chicago was great from the start and the crowd was completely into the concert - the boys seemed to notice and really had a great night.

SET #1

Limelight - great tune to open with, fan and personal favorite

Digital Man - when they initially announced they would use this song I thought it was a bad choice. I was wrong. They were very tight on this song and it was nice to hear something a bit obscure from Signals.

Entre Nous - Wow. They finally played this live. I could have gone home quite happy after seeing this; a beautiful song, well played.

Mission - Love this song but have seen it enough to be happy; would have been better to go into the vault and find something else. None the less, very well played.

Freewill - One of those songs the boys have to play for the old-time Rush fans. Geddy’s voice was up to the challenge for each of the shows, and sounds better than it has in a few years.

The Main Monkey Business - Just as solid in concert as it is on the cd. You can tell the boys really like this tune.

The Larger Bowl - Cute intro with Doug and Bob McKenzie, but wholly unnecessary. This is a beautiful song and has quickly become one of my all-time favorites.

Secret Touch - Glad to see this song again… one of the best songs off of Vapor Trails.

Circumstances - Nice blast from the past and modified well for Geddy’s voice.

Between the Wheels - One of my all-time faves and very well played. At the show in Chicago, my friend Travis said this song by itself merited a Rock and Roll Hall of Fame nomination for Rush; quite right.

Dreamline - Another great tune and nice way to close a somewhat abbreviated first set.

INTERMISSION

SET #2

Far Cry - Tightly played - nice way to open up the second half.

Workin’ Them Angels - Great video to go along with the song.

Armor and Sword - Another good video and another great cut from S&A.

Spindrift - Not my favorite cut from the new album, but nicely done.

The Way the Wind Blows - Perfectly played at both shows and a great accompanying video. At this point at the concert in Chicago, my friend Travis pointed out that the songs being played for the show were even more political than the new album itself. I think he’s right.

Subdivisions - Love this cut; wish they would have included some of the video with it like they have done in the past.

Natural Science - This sounded better than it did on the past couple of tours, but still would have liked to have seen it dropped in order to pull something else out of the vault.

Witch Hunt - Beautiful new video intro to go along - created the right eerie atmosphere; nice to see this tune again.

Malignant Narcissism - Wow. This cut was great.

Drum Solo - See the video above. Probably Neil’s best work to date.

Hope - Well done by Alex.

Summertime Blues - I guess they had to play something from this album, and this is a pretty good tune. But hate to see it get time from something original that could have been brought out.

Tom Sawyer - Great South park intro - see above. This is the obligatory song for the old-time fans and certainly a great cut. But as Travis pointed out, people have had 26 years to see this song in concert. If you haven’t seen it by now - too bad. Time to dust off something else, as sacrilegious as that might sound.

ENCORE

One Little Victory - Hey, had to play the blog’s namesake!

A Passage to Bangkok - Great tune to dust off for the encore.

YYZ - Obligatory song that is a terrific way to close the show.

Catching up on football

Lots to talk about here today.

Coach Filmachick


Let’s start with the Patriots taping scandal. Shame on you, Coach Belichick. While you are without a doubt the greatest Patriots’ coach ever and perhaps the greatest coach in the history of the NFL, principles still count. I understand that this cheating was trying to scout out the Jets, but if you can’t win without stooping to this level then you don’t belong in the NFL. I think the fine was appropriate, as was the loss of the draft pick. And Mr. Belichick, the loss of a first round draft pick (or a second and third if we don’t make the playoffs) harms the future of the franchise. That is unacceptable.

I was more than willing to tolerate marital infidelity and the scandal surrounding your personal life. This I will not accept. You had better hope that Bob Kraft is far more forgiving than I. I never thought I would do this, but Bill Belichick gets to be the newest recipient of the Moron of the Moment Award.

With all of that said, here is a link to a good article on the prevalence of cheating in the NFL. Before fans of other teams start casting stones, look at whether or not your own franchise is acting just as deceitfully. Raider fans (you know who, Kale!) will especially love this article.

Last Week’s Picks

I know I didn’t post them here last week, but I have already picked all 17 weeks, as that is how I reached my predicted standings. This last week, I went 12-4. Here is the breakdown:

Indianapolis over New Orleans (correct)
Denver over Buffalo (correct)

Washington over Miami (correct)
Pittsburgh over Cleveland (correct)
Jacksonville over Tennessee (wrong)
Houston over Kansas City (correct)
Green Bay over Philadelphia (correct)
St. Louis over Carolina (wrong)
Minnesota over Atlanta (correct)
New York Jets over New England (wrong) - yep, I expected us to drop this one
Seattle over Tampa Bay (correct)
Oakland over Detroit (wrong)
San Diego over Chicago (correct)
Dallas over New York Giants (correct)
Cincinnati over Baltimore (correct)
San Francisco over Arizona (correct)


Week Total: 12-4

Season Total 12-4 (.750)

Week Two Picks

Carolina over Houston
Jacksonville over Atlanta
Tennessee over Indianapolis
St. Louis over San Francisco
New York Giants over Green Bay
Pittsburgh over Buffalo
Cleveland over Cincinnati
Tampa Bay over New Orleans
Detroit over Minnesota
Miami over Dallas
Arizona over Seattle
Baltimore over New York Jets
Chicago over Kansas City
Denver over Oakland
New England over San Diego
Philadelphia over Washington

2007 NFL Predictions

And away we go…








New England 14 2 0 DIV
New York 9 7 0
Buffalo 4 12 0
Miami 4 12 0





Baltimore 11 5 0 DIV
Pittsburgh 10 6 0 WC
Cincinnati 10 6 0
Cleveland 6 10 0





Indianapolis 12 4 0 DIV
Tennessee 8 8 0
Jacksonville 7 9 0
Houston 6 10 0





San Diego 14 2 0 DIV
Denver 13 3 0 WC
Kansas City 6 10 0
Oakland 2 14 0





Philadelphia 11 5 0 DIV
Dallas 9 7 0
WC
New York 4 12 0
Washington 4 12 0





Chicago 14 2 0 DIV
Detroit 6 10 0
Green Bay 5 11 0
Minnesota 4 12 0





New Orleans 11 5 0 DIV
Tampa Bay 8 8 0 WC
Carolina 8 8 0
Atlanta 5 11 0





Seattle 11 5 0 DIV
Arizona 8 8 0
St. Louis 6 10 0
San Francisco 6 10 0

Post-Season:






#6 Pittsburgh #3 Indianapolis Indianapolis
#5 Denver #4 Baltimore Baltimore



#4 Baltimore #1 New England New England
#3 Indianapolis #2 San Diego San Diego



#2 San Diego #1 New England New England






#6 Tampa Bay #3 Philadelphia Philadelphia
#5 Dallas #4 Seattle Dallas



#5 Dallas #1 Chicago Dallas
#3 Philadelphia #2 New Orleans New Orleans



#5 Dallas #2 New Orleans New Orleans



New England New Orleans New England

Almost Back

Wow what a long week. I took the Labor Day weekend (plus Tuesday and Wednesday) to get moved, then played catch-up on Thursday and Friday before hanging out with my kids. Today I am with the kids again and heading out to see Rush tonight, before jumping on a plane with our student government and heading to Florida for the next four days.

And did I mention I’ll be out of town for a week at the end of September/beginning of October?

I am really looking forward to having the chance to breathe again.

But I thought I would pop on here today and post an article; an interesting one on the Bush administration and Iran to post in a couple of minutes. But over the next week, I need to catch all of you good readers up on:

* My NFL predictions for the year (created prior to Thursday)
* The start of the Patriots season
* Iran and Iraq, along with another great Olbermann response
* Larry Craig (the gift that keeps on giving)
* Fred Thompson’s candidacy
* A review of two Rush concerts

So I have a lot of blogging to catch up on; hopefully I’ll get the chance to attend to some in Florida. Keep checking back for more news.

A lack of blogging

It’s not as though there isn’t anything to blog about; there is plenty. But I am using the holiday weekend to get moved into my new place, which will take me through at least Wednesday. Then this weekend I am headed to see Rush again on Saturday before heading to a benchmarking trip in Florida for four days. So please forgive the lack of blogging, and please excuse me if I owe you an e-mail (or five); I’m getting there!